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FMCG portfolio budget allocation to price promotions using
Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
Juan Franco-Laverde1, Andrew Littlewood2, Craig Ellis3, Dr. Ingrid Schraner4 and Dr. MariaEstela Varua5
ABSTRACT
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to show that financial techniques, namely
Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), can be applied to marketing scenarios to
improve marketing return on investment. This paper uses MPT to optimise price
promotion activity.
Design/Methodology/Approach: Using the scanner panel data of a large
FMCG company specialising in dietary supplements the research creates price
promotion brackets and treats them in the same way as a portfolio of shares.
Findings: Using MPT this research identifies improved returns from price
promotion activity in product lines and across all product lines collectively,
whilst not affecting the level of risk involved.
Originality/Value: The application of MPT in marketing is not new, it has
previously been applied to portfolios of brands, markets, consumer segments
and campaigns to allocate marketing budgets, however all applications have
struggled with the lack of an index or fixed return (both common in financial
markets). This research breaks new ground with application in the area of price
promotion and delivers a robust application of MPT in marketing, overcoming
limitations of lack of index and fixed return.
1
Juan Franco-Laverde is a PhD student and University of Western Sydney and the Director of marketing
analytics company MediaCom Business Science
2
Andrew Littlewood is the Chief Data and ROI Officer of marketing analytics company MediaCom Business
Science
3
Craig Ellis is an Associate Professor at University of Western Sydney
4
Dr. Ingrid Schraner is a Senior Lecturer in Economics and Finance, Coordinator Community Engagement
School of Economics and Finance at University of Western Sydney
5
Dr. Maria-Estela Varua is a Lecturer in Economics and Finance at University of Western Sydney
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