Download SUMER-WP02

SMART
Sustainable Management of Scarce
Resources in the Coastal Zone
 Socio-Economic
Framework
and Guidelines (WP02)
18–21 September 2003
Cesme, TURKEY
Socio-Economic Framework and Guidelines
WP 02
 Contribution in determining the indicators of
socio-economic analysis.
 Investigating and collecting data for socioeconomic analysis of the Gediz case study (WP05).
TASK 1
Population, demographic and migration policy analysis
 Regional population growth in last decade: %17
• High immigration to region
• Immigration related to industrial growth
• People are immigrating to industrial cities esp. to province
centers from small municipalities and villages as well as
from other regions of Turkey, where economic activity is
focused on agriculture.
• Population in province centers and industrial
municipalities is increasing, while village and small town
population is decreasing
TASK 1
Population, demographic and migration policy analysis
As a result, domestic and industrial
water demand are increasing.
TASK 1
Population, demographic and migration policy analysis
Encountered problems in data compilation:
• Some data are not available in regional or municipal
scale such life expectancy at birth
• 1994 data has been used instead of 1990 data
• For some items there are no available data for
previous years in order to use in “change in time”
comparison
TASK 2
Political and Economic Options Adopted for the Study
Areas
 GDP has decreased due to three big economical
crisis in the last decade.
 Activity rate has decreased due to growing
unemployment.
 In regional scale cereals and pulses production has
decreased, but industrial crops, fruit and vegetable
production has increased. Farmers prefer crops which
bring more income.
TASK 2
Political and Economic Options Adopted for the Study
Areas
Encountered problems in data compilation:
• Data is not available in regional or municipal scale
for growth of GDP.
• 1994 and 1998 data has been compiled instead of
1990 and 2000 data, respectively.
• For industrial income distribution there are no
available data.
TASK 3
Competing Water Uses
Main sources for water use
Agriculture
95% surface water
Domestic
approx. 100% groundwater
Industrial
groundwater***
***
there are no records of how much water is consumed and it is
difficult to make an estimate of total water use.
TASK 3
Competing Water Uses
•Changes in crop pattern  agricultural water demand
increases
•Due to population growth domestic and industrial
water demand are increasing.
Industrial, Domestic, and Agricultural Water Uses are
COMPETING
TASK 3
Competing Water Uses
Encountered problems in data compilation:
• Domestic water consumption varies in every 36
municipality, different life-styles.
• No data for consumptions in previous years.
• Groundwater use is not recorded, hardly estimated.
• No data available for water consumption in commercial
and industrial units.
TASK 4
Economic Analysis of Water Resources
 Too many municipalities. Each municipality has its own
rate for water use.
 Agricultural water use costs are not fixed, irrigation water
is allocated by DSI for free, IA decide fees regarding
maintenance, operation and management costs.
 Industrial units receiving water from municipal water
distribution scheme pay approx. 0.90 € / m3 , but no cost is
available for groundwater use.
 No new investment in reservoir storage.
 No data is available about treatment and water distr.
schemes investments.