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Mark Florman JUNE 2013 The World The World in 1991 46% The World in 2013 GINI index 22% Source: World Bank Shifting Demographics Old vs. Young Old - Indebted 35% of WG Young – No Debt 65% of WG 2013 – Where are all the <30s? Source: US Census Bureau World Urbanisation 2012: 50% Source: Global Trends 2030, National Intelligence Council 2030: 60% World Population Growth 18% 13% 7 BILLION 70% 15% 2012 18% 9.3 BILLION 67% 2050 Least Developed Countries Less Developed Countries More Developed Countries Source: United Nations Population Fund Global Middle Class Consumption 2000 2050 • 65% Old World • 20% Old World Demographic Facts Japan & Germany: World’s Oldest Populations European Elderly: 58m more by 2050 European workforce ratio: 1/2 approaches Resources Land Water Minerals How Springboard Economy Springboard Society Migration Old World New World Shortages Surpluses STEM STEM Young Young Europe Unprecedented growth in productivity required from investing in Physical Capital Knowledge Capital Human Capital New Flat World Connected & communicating Constant fight over resources Working old & poor Instability & anger Online education Sustainable energy Springboard Economy Schools: STEM & business Angel & Venture Innovation ecosystems Productivity Apprenticeships Springboard Society No one left behind Business responsibility Social impact industry Back to work One million jobs Slavery (CSJ) UK Statistics 16% 53 MILLION 45% 39% 2013 30% 36% 63 MILLION 34% 2060 Public Sector net debt as a % of GDP 0-35 years old 36-65 years old 66+ years old Source: HM Treasury Source: Office of National Statistics Current State of the UK Living beyond our means Overtaxed Mortgaged the future Inward Facing Short termist Lack of innovation Need growth of 3% p.a. Long Term Solution Promote innovation investments Environment for flexible talent development Encourage entrepreneurship Shape disruptive technologies Foster ecosystems Short Term Spending Review HMT will make £11.5bn overall savings from Government departments year 2015/16. NHS budget to help fund investment in social care. Investments in long-term capital infrastructure. Will announce sums allocated to Local Enterprise Partnerships. UK Housing Facts on UK Housing 1.8 million households on waiting lists 60,000 households made homeless per year 4.6 million homes needed in next 20 years 2,000 housing associations Demographics and new household formation increases pressure Income-housing cost ratio worsening Impact of universal credit on credit quality of HA’s Homes & Communities Communities that support each other Innovation in work/home environments Socially inclusive societies Early intervention to support families Invest in Communities Construction & housing key catalyst to UK GDP Private investment via social impact investing Tax relief for social enterprises Support new social enterprises Private equity & venture capital Static communities Innovation in Elderly & Social Care Invest in Markets Measure and value social impact... ERR Form a development service company to aggregate development plans Aggregation of assets, income streams and risks Migrate £50bn of bank finance towards bond market (currently £7.5bn) Co-op housing – borrow against unfettered assets Regulator to consider treatment of grants (as assets) Thank you