Download The Energy White Paper 2003 To put ourselves on

Domestic Heating and Ventilation
Preparation For Change
Electrex - Birmingham
17th May 2006
Kelly Butler
Director
Struggling To Keep Up?
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Why we face constant regulatory change
How have we arrived where we are today?
What can we expect in the future?
Key product issues now and in the future
The probable industry response
Change Is Not Negotiable!
• The Energy White Paper 2003
 To put ourselves on the path to cut the UK’s CO2 emissions by some 60% by
about 2050, with real progress by 2020
 To ensure every home is adequately and affordably heated
 To maintain the reliability of energy supplies
• The Energy Review 2005/6
 Further action needed on climate change beyond 2012
 Rising fuel prices
 UK is a net importer of gas and becoming a net oil importer
The wider view
Renewables
Nuclear
LNG
Carbon Efficiency
Gas
Oil
Coal
Energy Production Mix
Energy Efficiency
Climate Change
Environmental
Energy Security
National Security
Result: Ever tighter regulation
Political
9 Years of Change & Influence
1997 – 2000
EST Grants
HECAction
Energy Efficiency Advice
EE Campaign
HEES (Electric)
SoP1&2 (Electric)
Best Practice
New Build Regulations
1997
2000-2005
SoP3 & EEC (gas)
Warm Front
HECAction
Energy Efficiency Advice
EE Campaign
Endorsement
Best Practice (CHeSS)
Existing Build Regulations
Clear Skies
Eco Homes
PV Programme
Community Heating
2006 - - - EEC (bigger but relevant?)
Energy Services pilots
Warm Front
Sustainable Energy Advice
EE Campaign
Endorsement
Best Practice
Building Regulations
Low Carbon Building Programme
Community Heating
Home Condition Report
Sustainable Housing Code
Sustainable Construction Strategy
Eco Homes
The 2006 Macro Market View
• Best Practice
• Home Energy Report
• Eco Homes
• Warm Front/HEES
• ECA Technology list
• Building Regulations L & F
• Energy Saving Recommended
• SAP 2005
• Energy Efficiency Commitment
• Code for Sustainable Homes
• Advice Programmes
• Low Carbon Programme
• Innovation Programmes
• Decent Homes
• Information campaigns
Agencies etc
Government
• Energy Policy/Mix
Electric Heating
Sector
• WEEE/RoHS Directives
Europe
• Energy Using Products Directive
• Energy Performance in Buildings Directive
In A Nutshell
• Thermally efficient
Buildings
• Air tight
• Lower heat demand
• Ventilation challenge
• Highly efficient
Products
• Sustainable manufacture
• Local generation demand
• System specified
• Lower carbon central generation
Supply
• Financial incentives for local generation
• Electrical renaissance expected
• Better metering and tariff options
2006 Product Issues
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Mechanical ventilation expansion
Predictive controls for electric heating
Highly efficient direct/storage systems
Introduction of new renewable offers
– Solar Thermal
– Heat pumps
– Micro wind and photovoltaic modules
Life In 2010
• 20% further improvement in buildings
• Tougher challenges:
– Diminishing returns on thermal performance
– Hot water dominant, low heat load (1-2kW)
– Adequate fresh air in an air tight house
• Probable emphasis towards ventilation,
solar and heat pumps
2010 – Product Issues
• ‘Services’ integration
(traditional heating/ventilation/renewables combinations)
– Revised SAP approach
– Clear package exemplars for dwelling types
• Consolidated supply routes
(single supply and distribution/professional contractor
relationships)
– Product and design training
– Marketing support
– Design services
The Next 5 years
• Large manufacturers backing systems
(big players will drive renewables)
• Distribution framework will converge
(merchant and wholesaler takeovers)
• Introduction of Super Contractors
(supported by manufacturers and aligned to the brands)
Change Can Be OK
• If you understand the policy vision
and
• If the industry works towards that vision…
in a focused and business like fashion.