Download The owner of Britten`s Egg Farm wants to estimate the mean number

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Transcript
The owner of Britten's Egg Farm wants to estimate the mean number of eggs laid per chicken. A sample of 20
chickens shows they laid an average of 20 eggs per month with a standard deviation of 2 eggs per month.
a) What is the value of the population mean? What is the best estimate of this value?
b) Explain why we need to use the t distribution. What assumptions do we need to make?
c) For a 95% CI, what is the value of t?
d) Develop the 95% confidence interval for the population mean.
e) Would it be reasonable to conclude that the population mean is 21 eggs? What about 25 eggs?
(a) The population mean is not known. But the best estimate of the population is the sample mean, that is 20 eggs per
month.
(b) Since the sample size is small (less than 30), we need to use the t- distribution. We make the assumption that the
sample drawn is random and is the number of eggs is normally distributed.
(c) The degrees of freedom for the t- test is 20 - 1 = 19. The value of t for 95% confidence is ± 2.0930.
(d) Standard error of the mean is SE = s/√n = 2/√20 = 0.4472
Width of the 95% confidence interval is W = t * SE = 2.0930 * 0.4472 = 0.9360
The 95% confidence interval is [x-bar - W, x-bar + W] = [20 - 0.9360, 20 + 0.9360] = [19.064, 20.936]
(e) Since both 21 and 25 lie outside the confidence interval calculated above, it is not reasonable to conclude that the
population mean is 21 eggs or 25 eggs.